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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+6.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+7.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.44+8.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+4.72vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.85-0.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58+3.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-0.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-3.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.59vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-0.67vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.92-5.66vs Predicted
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162.13-5.70vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.92-8.12vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Harvard University2.489.4%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University2.457.5%1st Place
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10.52Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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12.7Tufts University1.441.8%1st Place
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9.72Dartmouth College1.954.5%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.8512.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston College1.583.4%1st Place
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5.52Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.065.4%1st Place
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6.57Yale University2.929.7%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island1.613.4%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
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12.33University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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9.34Connecticut College1.924.8%1st Place
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10.32.133.6%1st Place
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8.88Brown University1.926.3%1st Place
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14.93Fairfield University0.421.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.