Race 1A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joe Serpa 17.9% 16.9% 15.6% 14.1% 12.2% 9.2% 7.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Reed Weston 20.5% 20.2% 17.2% 14.0% 10.2% 8.8% 5.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Marissa Tegeder 8.0% 9.0% 9.6% 11.6% 12.2% 13.1% 13.3% 10.0% 7.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
William Turner 19.7% 18.6% 16.0% 13.2% 12.9% 8.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Lukas Diehm 11.1% 12.7% 13.4% 13.8% 13.8% 12.0% 10.3% 6.7% 4.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Joaquin Lopez 6.7% 6.4% 9.2% 9.3% 10.6% 12.3% 12.5% 13.4% 10.3% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 11.1% 12.2% 14.5% 11.8% 10.0% 4.2% 1.2%
Carly Irwin 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 6.6% 8.0% 11.9% 14.3% 18.9% 17.1% 7.6%
Chance Spencer 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.7% 11.4% 15.3% 16.2% 17.2% 8.9%
Brynna Smith 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 5.5% 5.8% 6.2% 9.4% 11.8% 15.7% 17.6% 12.3% 6.2%
John Cayen 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 5.9% 8.8% 14.2% 24.4% 30.8%
Cate Peerbolte 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 7.8% 9.8% 20.2% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.