Race 2A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Turner 17.6% 19.0% 16.2% 15.0% 13.0% 8.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 20.3% 18.4% 18.2% 14.3% 11.4% 7.8% 5.9% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joe Serpa 19.8% 17.8% 13.8% 13.7% 13.0% 10.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Rakesh Dhiman 6.1% 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.8% 11.3% 13.2% 13.8% 12.8% 10.4% 4.5% 1.3%
Joaquin Lopez 6.3% 7.8% 7.3% 10.2% 10.3% 12.1% 13.4% 13.1% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9% 0.5%
Marissa Tegeder 9.1% 10.0% 10.0% 11.1% 12.4% 12.2% 11.7% 11.1% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Lukas Diehm 12.1% 11.3% 14.5% 13.9% 12.1% 11.9% 10.7% 7.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Chance Spencer 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 9.8% 10.9% 14.6% 17.7% 14.8% 7.5%
Carly Irwin 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.8% 12.3% 14.4% 17.6% 17.2% 8.5%
Brynna Smith 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 6.6% 7.4% 9.0% 11.9% 16.5% 16.5% 13.7% 5.5%
John Cayen 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 4.5% 5.5% 9.0% 14.0% 22.5% 33.6%
Cate Peerbolte 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 3.5% 4.9% 7.4% 11.2% 22.1% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.