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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.22+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.36+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.12-0.18vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.85-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.57+3.34vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.21-1.86vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.60-0.77vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.71-1.55vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.79-2.48vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.85-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Clemson University1.2218.6%1st Place
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5.5University of Wisconsin0.368.7%1st Place
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3.54University of Wisconsin1.3620.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Michigan1.1218.0%1st Place
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4.6Purdue University0.8512.2%1st Place
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6.68University of Saint Thomas-0.035.7%1st Place
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10.34University of Minnesota-1.570.8%1st Place
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6.14Marquette University0.216.4%1st Place
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8.23Michigan State University-0.602.6%1st Place
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8.45Hope College-0.712.3%1st Place
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8.52Michigan Technological University-0.791.8%1st Place
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8.54Grand Valley State University-0.852.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Turner | 18.6% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Reed Weston | 20.1% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 18.0% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| John Cayen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 48.4% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Brynna Smith | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 9.4% |
| Jack Bergman | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
| Chance Spencer | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 12.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.