Race 4A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joe Serpa 18.9% 18.0% 15.3% 13.4% 11.8% 8.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Reed Weston 22.1% 19.1% 15.3% 14.4% 10.1% 8.2% 6.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Marissa Tegeder 7.8% 8.7% 9.9% 10.1% 11.3% 11.2% 12.6% 10.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9%
Lukas Diehm 10.5% 11.3% 14.7% 14.2% 11.8% 12.2% 9.6% 7.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Carly Irwin 1.2% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 6.8% 7.6% 9.0% 12.3% 15.7% 18.6% 15.4%
William Turner 19.1% 17.8% 15.3% 14.6% 11.9% 9.9% 5.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Joaquin Lopez 6.9% 6.6% 7.6% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 12.4% 13.2% 9.6% 6.4% 4.2% 1.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.5% 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.8% 10.2% 11.6% 12.5% 11.2% 10.9% 6.5% 2.6%
Brynna Smith 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 3.4% 5.6% 7.1% 7.8% 10.5% 12.8% 15.8% 16.0% 10.7%
Chance Spencer 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 10.2% 13.4% 16.1% 18.4% 13.5%
Jack Bergman 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.5% 8.3% 10.7% 13.9% 14.6% 15.7% 11.4%
John Cayen 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 7.2% 11.0% 17.4% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.