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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+10.31vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+7.47vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+3.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+5.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+3.17vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+3.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.55+4.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-2.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.89vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.49-1.71vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.06-1.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.97-1.50vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.89-6.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.35-1.64vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.05-5.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-8.09vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.85-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.88Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.86Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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10.5Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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9.77Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.65Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Paggi | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| J. Jacob | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Charles Rees | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian White | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| Drew Shea | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.9% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.