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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+4.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+3.74vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.87+1.89vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+2.39vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.27+3.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.46+2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.43+4.53vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.11-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.46+0.51vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.52-1.33vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.54-3.25vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-3.32vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-1.34-3.89vs Predicted
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18Unknown School-1.97-3.04vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.81-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6412.8%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University0.9411.6%1st Place
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4.89North Carolina State University0.8712.7%1st Place
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4.04Hampton University0.5818.4%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida0.507.2%1st Place
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9.12The Citadel-0.273.6%1st Place
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6.79Jacksonville University0.487.8%1st Place
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10.3University of North Carolina-0.462.9%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan-1.431.9%1st Place
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8.45University of South Carolina-0.114.6%1st Place
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11.51University of Central Florida-0.462.3%1st Place
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10.67Christopher Newport University-0.522.5%1st Place
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9.75Clemson University-0.543.5%1st Place
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11.75Embry-Riddle University-1.022.1%1st Place
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11.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.982.1%1st Place
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16.06Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.5%1st Place
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13.11Florida State University-1.341.9%1st Place
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14.96Unknown School-1.970.9%1st Place
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14.58San Diego State University-1.810.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 18.4% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joe Seiffert | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jillian Giordano | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Molly Loring | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Suhas Medidi | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 35.5% |
| Ella Durante | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Samara Cohen | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.