Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Reed Weston 20.4% 17.8% 16.3% 14.2% 11.1% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
William Turner 20.5% 17.6% 17.3% 13.2% 12.0% 7.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Marissa Tegeder 8.6% 8.3% 9.0% 11.7% 10.7% 12.4% 11.0% 11.7% 8.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Joe Serpa 17.2% 17.3% 15.6% 12.5% 12.4% 9.2% 7.1% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Joaquin Lopez 5.7% 7.9% 6.8% 8.8% 11.3% 12.2% 12.7% 11.6% 10.5% 6.6% 4.5% 1.4%
Lukas Diehm 11.5% 12.2% 12.8% 13.2% 11.4% 12.6% 10.3% 7.6% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.0% 5.1% 7.2% 7.7% 9.6% 9.7% 10.3% 12.4% 13.7% 11.2% 5.9% 2.2%
Chance Spencer 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 6.3% 7.7% 10.1% 12.7% 15.1% 16.8% 13.4%
Brynna Smith 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 9.8% 10.4% 13.2% 15.6% 16.2% 10.2%
Jack Bergman 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.6% 8.2% 10.3% 11.8% 15.2% 16.0% 12.0%
Carly Irwin 1.7% 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 5.0% 7.3% 9.9% 12.8% 15.8% 17.2% 16.0%
John Cayen 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 4.3% 6.8% 10.8% 19.3% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.