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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+5.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+3.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+6.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+6.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+2.84vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.89+0.37vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23+2.01vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.06+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.85+5.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.35+2.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-0.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.48vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.21-3.98vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.49-6.25vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.84vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-7.70vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-4.40vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.55-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.37College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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10.01Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.64Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Price | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rees | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 32.1% |
| Ian White | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.5% |
| Drew Shea | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Michael Popp | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| J. Jacob | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.