Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Turner 19.5% 18.1% 16.2% 14.1% 11.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Reed Weston 21.4% 17.5% 15.7% 14.4% 11.5% 8.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Lukas Diehm 11.6% 11.8% 14.4% 13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.2% 8.0% 4.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.3% 5.8% 5.9% 7.8% 9.0% 10.7% 11.3% 13.3% 11.6% 11.2% 6.5% 2.5%
Marissa Tegeder 7.8% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 11.7% 11.2% 7.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Joe Serpa 17.9% 16.5% 15.8% 13.9% 11.9% 8.8% 7.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Joaquin Lopez 6.1% 7.5% 7.1% 9.5% 10.5% 11.5% 12.4% 11.5% 11.5% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7%
Brynna Smith 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.8% 7.1% 8.5% 11.2% 13.9% 14.1% 16.0% 9.8%
Jack Bergman 3.0% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 9.5% 13.5% 15.6% 17.7% 11.6%
John Cayen 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.2% 3.4% 5.0% 7.1% 11.6% 18.9% 44.2%
Chance Spencer 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 3.6% 5.3% 6.0% 8.6% 9.6% 11.7% 15.1% 17.8% 14.1%
Carly Irwin 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 3.9% 4.6% 6.6% 7.2% 9.2% 12.8% 16.2% 15.6% 15.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.