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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.49+7.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+8.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+2.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+5.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+2.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.20vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.85+7.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.89-2.63vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38+2.69vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.06-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.35+0.99vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-3.90vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.43-6.06vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-5.97vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-9.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.21-7.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.55-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.4Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.73Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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14.26University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.37College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.69Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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11.66Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jacob | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Price | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Popp | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 32.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Charles Rees | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 15.5% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Ian White | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 18.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| William Bailey | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.