Race 7A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joe Serpa 17.9% 16.1% 14.9% 14.8% 12.9% 10.8% 6.9% 2.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Marissa Tegeder 7.5% 9.8% 10.6% 10.0% 12.9% 10.9% 12.4% 12.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
William Turner 19.9% 19.1% 17.1% 13.8% 10.8% 9.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Reed Weston 21.9% 18.4% 16.5% 14.6% 10.3% 8.8% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Diehm 11.2% 12.5% 13.1% 14.0% 13.6% 12.3% 9.6% 7.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Joaquin Lopez 6.1% 7.4% 8.2% 9.7% 10.0% 11.1% 14.8% 12.2% 10.6% 6.3% 2.9% 0.5%
Chance Spencer 2.6% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 6.2% 6.6% 8.8% 10.8% 14.8% 16.7% 16.4% 8.2%
Carly Irwin 3.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.8% 7.3% 8.6% 12.2% 14.1% 17.7% 15.6% 8.2%
John Cayen 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.8% 6.2% 9.4% 14.8% 25.2% 29.6%
Rakesh Dhiman 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 7.2% 8.7% 11.3% 13.6% 13.7% 12.7% 8.9% 4.6% 1.5%
Cate Peerbolte 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 6.9% 11.1% 21.4% 45.2%
Brynna Smith 3.3% 3.8% 3.6% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.3% 12.3% 14.9% 17.6% 11.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.