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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.09+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.39+1.87vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.92-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.55+2.23vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.17-0.38vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.36-0.25vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.56-1.41vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.57-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-1.11-1.28vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-2.00-0.79vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-1.52-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Wisconsin0.7016.5%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin1.0922.4%1st Place
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4.87University of Michigan0.3911.3%1st Place
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3.84Purdue University0.9217.6%1st Place
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7.23University of Minnesota-0.554.5%1st Place
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5.62Clemson University-0.177.5%1st Place
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6.75Grand Valley State University-0.365.1%1st Place
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6.59Michigan State University-0.566.3%1st Place
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7.34Hope College-0.574.5%1st Place
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8.72University of Saint Thomas-1.111.8%1st Place
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10.21Marquette University-2.000.8%1st Place
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9.39Michigan Technological University-1.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 16.5% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 22.4% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Odey Hariri | 17.6% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Samantha Bialek | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Eva Rossell | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Conall Lynch | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 15.1% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 46.1% |
| Fritz Jaeger | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.