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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+5.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+6.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.06+5.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.49+2.96vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+3.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+1.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05+1.81vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18+0.24vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.08-4.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.85+1.16vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-2.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-7.20vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.39vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.97-6.71vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.35-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.23Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.81Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.92Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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14.16University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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11.52Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.61Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Rees | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| J. Jacob | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Drew Shea | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Michael Popp | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 33.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
| Christopher Price | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Ian White | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.