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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.39+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.09+0.45vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.92-0.17vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.17+0.50vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.36+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.57-0.95vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.56-2.29vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-1.94+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-1.11-2.58vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-2.00-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Wisconsin0.7016.9%1st Place
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4.92University of Michigan0.3910.4%1st Place
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3.45University of Wisconsin1.0921.8%1st Place
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3.83Purdue University0.9218.7%1st Place
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5.5Clemson University-0.178.0%1st Place
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6.62Grand Valley State University-0.365.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Minnesota-0.554.2%1st Place
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7.05Hope College-0.574.8%1st Place
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6.71Michigan State University-0.565.9%1st Place
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10.13Michigan Technological University-1.940.4%1st Place
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8.42University of Saint Thomas-1.113.0%1st Place
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10.06Marquette University-2.001.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 16.9% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Abe Weston | 21.8% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 24.1% | 38.6% |
| Conall Lynch | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 10.3% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 22.1% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.