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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.99vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.92+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.50+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.55+1.81vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.17-0.71vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.36-0.57vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.56-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.11-0.98vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-2.00-0.23vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.94-1.24vs Predicted
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12Hope College-2.30-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Wisconsin1.0923.4%1st Place
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3.99University of Wisconsin0.7016.7%1st Place
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3.7Purdue University0.9217.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Michigan0.5012.9%1st Place
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6.81University of Minnesota-0.554.8%1st Place
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5.29Clemson University-0.179.0%1st Place
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6.43Grand Valley State University-0.365.5%1st Place
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6.4Michigan State University-0.565.5%1st Place
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8.02University of Saint Thomas-1.112.4%1st Place
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9.77Marquette University-2.000.8%1st Place
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9.76Michigan Technological University-1.940.9%1st Place
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10.23Hope College-2.300.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 23.4% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 16.7% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 17.2% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brody Schwartz | 12.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Samantha Bialek | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Conall Lynch | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 24.7% | 25.7% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 24.2% | 26.4% |
| Laura Prince | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 23.2% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.