← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+9.01vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+9.46vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.21+6.37vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.05vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.49+2.92vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.06+3.74vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.08-1.30vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.23+1.00vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.89-2.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont3.51-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.92-4.54vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.55+0.15vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.43-4.91vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.38-1.81vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College3.18-5.79vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.35-3.27vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College2.97-6.69vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.85-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.01Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.05U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.92Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.74Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
5.7Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.0Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
6.3College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.09University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.46Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
12.15Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
-
8.09Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
12.19Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.21Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
12.73University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
-
10.31Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
14.22University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Michael Popp | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| J. Jacob | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Charles Rees | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Ian White | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.4% |
| Christopher Price | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.