Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Abe Weston 22.1% 19.9% 17.8% 13.9% 11.1% 8.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Castellini 16.0% 15.3% 14.2% 13.7% 13.2% 11.5% 6.7% 5.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Odey Hariri 16.8% 18.6% 17.1% 14.1% 11.9% 9.4% 7.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Brody Schwartz 13.6% 14.1% 12.8% 13.2% 13.7% 10.8% 10.4% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Bialek 9.7% 9.1% 10.8% 11.2% 13.3% 12.3% 11.5% 11.2% 6.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Reid Kwiatkowski 5.9% 6.6% 6.9% 7.8% 9.2% 11.5% 12.4% 13.2% 12.8% 9.0% 4.2% 0.5%
Isaac Sparber 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.1% 10.6% 12.2% 15.2% 15.2% 11.9% 5.8% 1.5%
Luqman Waheeduddin 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.8% 6.8% 10.1% 16.0% 24.1% 27.4%
Eva Rossell 5.5% 5.5% 7.3% 8.6% 9.4% 11.1% 13.2% 13.6% 12.2% 9.0% 3.8% 0.9%
Conall Lynch 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 7.3% 8.9% 12.3% 16.2% 18.6% 12.2% 5.7%
Emma Stahl 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 5.6% 6.1% 10.4% 16.7% 25.7% 24.7%
Laura Prince 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.9% 8.3% 13.6% 22.4% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.