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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.39+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+1.12vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.17+1.45vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92-1.13vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.36+0.68vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.00+3.11vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.57-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.11-0.65vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.56-3.36vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.94-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.55-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Wisconsin1.0921.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Michigan0.3911.9%1st Place
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4.12University of Wisconsin0.7015.9%1st Place
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5.45Clemson University-0.178.8%1st Place
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3.87Purdue University0.9217.8%1st Place
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6.68Grand Valley State University-0.365.0%1st Place
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10.11Marquette University-2.001.1%1st Place
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7.32Hope College-0.574.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Saint Thomas-1.112.6%1st Place
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6.64Michigan State University-0.566.1%1st Place
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10.01Michigan Technological University-1.941.2%1st Place
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7.13University of Minnesota-0.554.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 21.0% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 17.8% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 22.3% | 40.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Conall Lynch | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 10.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Emma Stahl | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 25.1% | 36.3% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.