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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+6.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+2.35vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+1.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.49+0.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.97+2.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.87vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-0.68vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-1.03vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.50vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.85+1.13vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-2.47vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.06-5.32vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.35-4.20vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.97Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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14.13University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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11.53Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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12.61Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Charles Rees | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| J. Jacob | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 32.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| Ian White | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.