← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.30vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.70+2.17vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.39+1.84vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University0.92-0.17vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University-0.17+0.47vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-2.00+4.15vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-0.36-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-0.57-0.78vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-0.55-1.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Saint Thomas-1.11-1.60vs Predicted
-
11Michigan State University-0.56-4.40vs Predicted
-
12Michigan Technological University-1.94-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3University of Wisconsin1.0922.9%1st Place
-
4.17University of Wisconsin0.7014.8%1st Place
-
4.84University of Michigan0.3910.9%1st Place
-
3.83Purdue University0.9217.0%1st Place
-
5.47Clemson University-0.178.7%1st Place
-
10.15Marquette University-2.000.9%1st Place
-
6.68Grand Valley State University-0.365.9%1st Place
-
7.22Hope College-0.574.3%1st Place
-
7.19University of Minnesota-0.555.2%1st Place
-
8.4University of Saint Thomas-1.112.6%1st Place
-
6.6Michigan State University-0.565.8%1st Place
-
10.13Michigan Technological University-1.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 22.9% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 17.0% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 40.4% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Isaac Sparber | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Conall Lynch | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 9.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 24.4% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.