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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+8.36vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.56vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06+6.97vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+2.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.71vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+3.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51+0.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.49-0.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.86vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.41vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-0.73vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38+0.78vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-4.87vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-5.08vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.55-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-1.56vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.35-4.24vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.05-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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12.78Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.83Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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9.65Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Charles Rees | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| William Bailey | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| J. Jacob | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Price | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 33.6% |
| Ian White | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
| Drew Shea | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.