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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+2.17vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.92+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.39+0.83vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.57+2.27vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.17-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.55+0.19vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.36-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-1.11-0.63vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.56-3.25vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.94-0.92vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-2.00-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Wisconsin1.0923.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Wisconsin0.7015.1%1st Place
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3.8Purdue University0.9218.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Michigan0.3912.6%1st Place
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7.27Hope College-0.573.4%1st Place
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5.42Clemson University-0.178.4%1st Place
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7.19University of Minnesota-0.554.5%1st Place
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6.62Grand Valley State University-0.364.3%1st Place
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8.37University of Saint Thomas-1.113.5%1st Place
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6.75Michigan State University-0.565.5%1st Place
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10.08Michigan Technological University-1.940.9%1st Place
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10.18Marquette University-2.000.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Weston | 23.0% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 18.0% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Samantha Bialek | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Conall Lynch | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 10.4% |
| Eva Rossell | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Emma Stahl | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 24.0% | 37.6% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 23.9% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.