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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+4.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+3.82vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.58+1.06vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.87+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+2.21vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.46+5.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-0.11+1.33vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48-1.35vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.27-0.06vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.52+0.57vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.13-2.50vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.54-2.42vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.43+0.11vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.02-2.22vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-1.34-2.17vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.81-1.93vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.11vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.43-1.99vs Predicted
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19Unknown School-1.97-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Roger Williams University0.9410.3%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.1%1st Place
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4.06Hampton University0.5819.4%1st Place
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4.83North Carolina State University0.8715.0%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida0.506.5%1st Place
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11.3University of Central Florida-0.462.5%1st Place
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8.33University of South Carolina-0.113.8%1st Place
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6.65Jacksonville University0.488.1%1st Place
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8.94The Citadel-0.274.0%1st Place
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10.57Christopher Newport University-0.523.0%1st Place
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8.5University of North Carolina-0.135.2%1st Place
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9.58Clemson University-0.543.8%1st Place
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13.11University of Michigan-1.431.7%1st Place
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11.78Embry-Riddle University-1.022.3%1st Place
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12.83Florida State University-1.341.8%1st Place
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14.07San Diego State University-1.810.9%1st Place
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15.89Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.7%1st Place
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16.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.430.5%1st Place
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14.83Unknown School-1.970.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 15.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Molly Loring | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jillian Giordano | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Suhas Medidi | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Ella Durante | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 29.5% |
| Emma Frank | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 30.0% |
| Samara Cohen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.