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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+8.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+3.49vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.06+5.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+1.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+2.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+0.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55+1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-3.09vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-1.92vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.80-2.44vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.49-6.35vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.35-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-1.66vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-7.90vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.34Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.51Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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11.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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11.99Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.08Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.25Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Charles Rees | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| William Bailey | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Popp | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| J. Jacob | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Ian White | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 34.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.