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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.66+2.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+0.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20-1.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.08-0.45vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.43vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.54-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Tufts University0.9315.3%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University0.6612.6%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University0.8013.7%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University1.1520.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island1.2021.4%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University-0.085.8%1st Place
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4.57Olin College of Engineering0.469.8%1st Place
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7.29University of New Hampshire-1.541.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Haley Andreasen | 15.3% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
Meredith Broadus | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 3.2% |
Blake Vogel | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
Ella Hubbard | 20.2% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
Max Sigel | 21.4% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Matthew Cabot | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 30.8% | 14.5% |
Peter Schnell | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 4.8% |
Kathleen Hanson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.