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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+2.34vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+2.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+0.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.800.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66-0.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.08-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.20-3.74vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.54-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Tufts University1.1520.2%1st Place
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4.54Olin College of Engineering0.469.8%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University0.9316.6%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University0.8014.1%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University0.6612.5%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University-0.085.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Rhode Island1.2020.6%1st Place
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7.3University of New Hampshire-1.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ella Hubbard | 20.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
Peter Schnell | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 4.1% |
Haley Andreasen | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 1.4% |
Blake Vogel | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
Meredith Broadus | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
Matthew Cabot | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 32.2% | 14.1% |
Max Sigel | 20.6% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
Kathleen Hanson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 11.4% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.