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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+6.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.49+3.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+3.97vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+1.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.01vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.06+0.68vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-3.56vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.55+0.96vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-3.52vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.97-3.09vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.35-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.85-0.75vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.80-5.19vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-7.91vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.96Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.96Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.91Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.25Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| J. Jacob | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| William Bailey | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Price | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Ian White | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 32.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.