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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+8.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.32vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+3.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+1.78vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+1.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.49-0.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55+2.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.050.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.71vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.21-4.12vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.80-3.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-2.02vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.50vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.93-2.90vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.97-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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5.65Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.71Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.0Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.43Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.5Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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9.85Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| William Bailey | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| J. Jacob | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Drew Shea | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 18.5% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.7% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 30.3% |
| Christopher Price | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.