Race 1A

saisa-south-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dylan Hardt 5.2% 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 10.2% 11.5% 13.4% 12.7% 14.9% 9.8%
Brendan Smucker 9.1% 9.3% 10.5% 10.8% 12.6% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 8.3% 4.5%
Sydney Monahan 11.9% 12.2% 12.8% 12.4% 13.0% 12.0% 10.4% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8%
Emma Shakespeare 13.7% 11.8% 12.6% 13.3% 12.9% 12.0% 9.3% 8.4% 4.6% 1.3%
Connor Teague 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 8.0% 11.8% 18.5% 39.2%
Patrick Igoe 20.9% 19.9% 17.4% 14.6% 9.3% 7.8% 5.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Steven Hardee 21.6% 19.1% 15.8% 14.6% 11.1% 8.6% 5.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Carly Orhan 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 10.2% 13.7% 15.4% 15.6% 8.8%
Hudson Jenkins 6.7% 7.6% 7.5% 9.4% 10.7% 11.8% 12.8% 13.2% 13.0% 7.2%
Ella DesChamps 3.0% 4.0% 4.8% 4.5% 7.1% 8.5% 10.4% 12.3% 18.4% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.