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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+3.46vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+0.63vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.10+1.41vs Predicted
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6Florida International University0.52-0.09vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.55-0.97vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.49-0.06vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.70-5.65vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.13-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of South Florida1.0912.1%1st Place
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5.31Florida Institute of Technology0.739.8%1st Place
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3.55University of Miami1.6419.7%1st Place
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4.63University of South Florida1.4411.9%1st Place
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6.41Rollins College0.105.2%1st Place
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5.91Florida International University0.527.1%1st Place
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6.03Embry-Riddle University0.557.1%1st Place
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7.94Rollins College-0.492.2%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University1.7021.9%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University-0.133.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emma Shakespeare | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
Brendan Smucker | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
Steven Hardee | 19.7% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Sydney Monahan | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Carly Orhan | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 11.6% |
Hudson Jenkins | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
Dylan Hardt | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
Connor Teague | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 38.6% |
Patrick Igoe | 21.9% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Ella DesChamps | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.