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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+7.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+3.80vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+7.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+5.58vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+3.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+0.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23+1.98vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.06+1.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.49-1.13vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38+2.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.23+1.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-2.63vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.80-4.32vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.21-6.89vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.89-10.54vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.93-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.58Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.37Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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13.79University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| J. Jacob | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 22.4% |
| Michael Popp | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Charles Rees | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.