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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+8.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.00vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.49+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+7.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05+2.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.440.00vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.93+5.05vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.58vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-4.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.67vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.80-2.43vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.38-1.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.55-3.27vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.92-9.78vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.06-7.16vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.97-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.74Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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12.04Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.73Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| J. Jacob | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 19.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Drew Shea | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Michael Popp | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 29.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Charles Rees | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| William Bailey | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.