Race 3A

saisa-south-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emma Shakespeare 13.1% 14.2% 14.8% 13.5% 12.4% 10.2% 10.1% 7.2% 3.8% 0.9%
Patrick Igoe 20.4% 19.6% 16.4% 14.1% 11.6% 8.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Brendan Smucker 8.9% 9.6% 9.0% 11.2% 10.9% 12.8% 13.1% 11.1% 9.9% 3.4%
Dylan Hardt 6.0% 7.2% 7.9% 9.1% 10.3% 12.0% 12.3% 13.5% 13.1% 8.6%
Carly Orhan 5.5% 6.0% 7.0% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 12.3% 15.8% 15.5% 11.7%
Steven Hardee 20.2% 17.3% 17.0% 14.1% 11.2% 9.2% 6.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Sydney Monahan 13.1% 12.7% 11.7% 12.0% 14.4% 10.5% 9.5% 8.9% 5.5% 1.7%
Connor Teague 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 3.3% 4.7% 5.1% 7.8% 11.5% 18.2% 39.6%
Ella DesChamps 4.0% 2.9% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 8.6% 9.1% 14.2% 19.9% 25.7%
Hudson Jenkins 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 9.4% 10.4% 12.8% 13.5% 12.6% 12.0% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.