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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+5.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.29vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.59+4.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+2.82vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+1.17vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-1.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.37-3.24vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.10-0.21vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-2.57vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85-1.37vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.06+0.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.34vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-3.89vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.80-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.11Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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4.76Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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7.43Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.63Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.19McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.11University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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9.72Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Evan Read | 16.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 30.7% |
| George Luber | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 25.3% |
| William Dykes | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| John Cappetta | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.