Race 4A

saisa-south-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hudson Jenkins 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 10.2% 12.6% 13.2% 13.5% 11.6% 7.4%
Steven Hardee 21.9% 17.3% 17.8% 14.3% 11.3% 7.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Patrick Igoe 21.9% 18.0% 16.7% 14.8% 10.8% 8.0% 5.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4%
Emma Shakespeare 10.9% 14.8% 12.8% 13.3% 12.7% 12.0% 10.1% 7.3% 4.5% 1.4%
Sydney Monahan 11.8% 13.2% 12.8% 13.1% 12.4% 12.3% 10.2% 8.2% 4.3% 1.6%
Connor Teague 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 11.7% 19.7% 37.5%
Carly Orhan 6.2% 5.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 9.9% 12.8% 15.0% 17.6% 10.7%
Brendan Smucker 8.6% 9.8% 9.3% 11.2% 12.4% 13.0% 13.4% 10.4% 7.8% 4.2%
Dylan Hardt 5.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.8% 11.9% 13.2% 13.2% 11.5% 10.3%
Ella DesChamps 2.9% 4.0% 3.8% 5.6% 6.2% 7.3% 8.9% 14.3% 20.8% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.