Race 5A

saisa-south-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sydney Monahan 12.7% 12.0% 12.9% 13.0% 12.8% 11.1% 11.2% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0%
Steven Hardee 20.2% 18.1% 15.7% 16.6% 10.7% 8.2% 6.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Carly Orhan 5.2% 6.1% 6.2% 7.7% 8.7% 11.2% 11.7% 15.7% 16.4% 11.1%
Dylan Hardt 6.6% 7.1% 7.9% 8.4% 11.0% 10.5% 12.5% 13.8% 13.7% 8.6%
Hudson Jenkins 6.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 10.9% 12.8% 12.4% 13.4% 12.2% 7.5%
Ella DesChamps 3.9% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 8.3% 9.0% 12.9% 20.4% 26.1%
Brendan Smucker 8.8% 9.6% 10.5% 10.2% 12.8% 11.3% 12.6% 11.1% 8.9% 4.3%
Emma Shakespeare 12.3% 14.0% 14.2% 12.8% 11.5% 12.3% 10.8% 7.2% 3.9% 1.0%
Patrick Igoe 21.6% 18.8% 16.5% 14.5% 11.6% 7.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Connor Teague 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 6.7% 8.2% 12.2% 18.0% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.