← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.54+6.24vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.37+2.64vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.59+4.06vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University3.26+1.04vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.13-0.61vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.69-0.17vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.10+0.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.58-1.86vs Predicted
-
10McGill University1.06+1.99vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College1.85-1.36vs Predicted
-
12Bates College1.80-1.95vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire1.35-1.69vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.53vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.70-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.24Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.64Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.06Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
-
5.04Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.39Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.83Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.84Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
-
7.14University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
11.99McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.64Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
10.05Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
11.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
6.77Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Evan Read | 14.4% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 30.5% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 21.4% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 23.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.