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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+4.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+4.72vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.85+6.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.27vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13-0.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.57vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54-0.61vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.10-0.26vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.37-5.19vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.06+0.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.59-4.59vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.80-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35-2.87vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.55Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.39Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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11.96McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.41Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.94Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.13University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Adam Ceely | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Evan Read | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 31.6% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| John Cappetta | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 18.6% |
| George Luber | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.