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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+2.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+2.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+2.83vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+2.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+0.19vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.85+1.66vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-4.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.10-1.10vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.59-3.82vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.80-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-1.72vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.53vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.06-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.62Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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5.33Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.45Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.66Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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4.99Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.100.0%1st Place
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7.18Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.03Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.84McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Evan Read | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Houston-Floyd | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| John Cappetta | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| George Luber | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 22.5% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.