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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+0.76vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.48vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93-0.96vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-2.10-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.83-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Virginia Tech0.6750.3%1st Place
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2.76University of Maryland-0.0820.4%1st Place
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3.48American University-0.8610.9%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.8%1st Place
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4.04Drexel University-0.937.9%1st Place
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5.34William and Mary-2.103.2%1st Place
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6.12University of Delaware-2.831.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 50.3% | 29.7% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 20.4% | 27.0% | 24.3% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.9% | 16.0% | 24.3% | 23.4% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 25.7% | 20.5% | 9.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 32.4% | 25.8% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 19.3% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.