Race 5A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brendan Cook 12.5% 12.6% 11.9% 9.9% 10.0% 8.0% 9.0% 6.4% 6.2% 5.0% 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Evan Read 15.2% 16.3% 13.4% 11.5% 10.2% 9.0% 6.0% 5.7% 5.5% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Bradley Milliken 7.6% 8.9% 10.1% 9.3% 7.1% 8.3% 9.1% 10.0% 6.5% 7.4% 7.0% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.6% 14.1% 11.9% 10.9% 9.4% 8.2% 8.8% 7.2% 5.6% 4.2% 2.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Ellis Tonissi 7.1% 7.0% 7.1% 6.5% 7.4% 9.2% 6.9% 8.7% 10.3% 7.6% 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 0.7%
Nicholas Dragone 3.0% 3.9% 2.4% 5.4% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 6.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.2% 12.4% 11.0% 6.6%
Domenic Bove 8.9% 6.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 10.2% 8.6% 8.8% 7.6% 7.5% 5.4% 5.0% 3.7% 3.2% 0.9%
Charles Proctor 8.3% 6.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 7.7% 7.9% 8.4% 7.7% 6.5% 6.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
John Cappetta 2.8% 2.4% 4.1% 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 8.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 11.4% 6.9%
Maxime Fecteau 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% 3.8% 6.5% 8.2% 11.3% 17.4% 32.0%
William Dykes 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 6.8% 6.8% 9.4% 12.4% 16.7% 20.1%
Robert Lippincott 5.6% 5.5% 7.5% 7.3% 8.9% 6.4% 8.4% 7.0% 8.5% 8.4% 8.9% 6.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.1%
Adam Ceely 6.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8.5% 7.0% 5.7% 2.8% 1.7%
Christian Houston-Floyd 4.0% 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 7.2% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 8.5% 9.0% 11.0% 10.4% 6.3% 4.0%
George Luber 1.3% 2.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.5% 2.7% 3.8% 3.2% 4.1% 4.7% 7.6% 9.7% 11.0% 18.0% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.