Race 6A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Domenic Bove 8.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.9% 9.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 8.5% 6.1% 7.5% 5.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.0%
Robert Lippincott 6.8% 6.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.5% 7.2% 8.2% 7.1% 8.4% 8.4% 6.6% 6.8% 5.1% 3.6% 0.7%
Christian Houston-Floyd 4.8% 3.9% 5.1% 4.1% 5.0% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 6.8% 7.3% 10.0% 10.2% 10.7% 6.7% 3.8%
Ellis Tonissi 7.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.5% 8.7% 7.0% 7.8% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 7.9% 6.3% 3.7% 3.6% 1.1%
Bradley Milliken 8.3% 10.1% 6.7% 9.1% 7.9% 8.6% 7.4% 10.2% 7.8% 7.8% 5.8% 4.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.6%
Evan Read 14.3% 13.9% 12.7% 12.1% 10.6% 9.7% 8.5% 5.1% 4.8% 4.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 7.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 8.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 6.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.9% 13.3% 12.2% 9.3% 10.8% 9.0% 7.6% 7.0% 5.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Dragone 3.1% 2.3% 4.1% 4.4% 3.2% 5.3% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.5% 9.8% 11.4% 11.5% 9.8% 6.6%
Brendan Cook 10.4% 12.2% 10.8% 10.7% 9.8% 8.7% 8.9% 7.3% 7.1% 4.6% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 7.6% 8.9% 7.4% 9.0% 7.7% 9.0% 6.9% 7.8% 7.3% 7.6% 6.9% 6.1% 4.4% 2.3% 1.1%
George Luber 1.7% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.6% 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 6.1% 6.1% 8.1% 14.0% 17.9% 25.5%
Maxime Fecteau 1.0% 1.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 4.4% 5.5% 7.4% 11.9% 19.5% 31.1%
William Dykes 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 2.5% 1.8% 3.8% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.7% 9.8% 12.3% 16.8% 19.3%
John Cappetta 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.8% 7.1% 8.4% 12.2% 11.4% 11.7% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.