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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+2.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+0.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+3.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.72+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.05-0.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.34-1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.31vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.84-5.87vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.89-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.96-0.37vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Roger Williams University2.0917.5%1st Place
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2.98Roger Williams University2.4028.6%1st Place
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6.75Salve Regina University0.464.6%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.4%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont0.724.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island1.055.9%1st Place
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5.1Brown University1.349.2%1st Place
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10.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.6%1st Place
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4.13Roger Williams University1.8414.4%1st Place
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9.97Amherst College-0.890.9%1st Place
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11.63University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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11.78Middlebury College-2.100.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 17.5% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 28.6% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 26.5% | 22.2% | 7.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Knowlton | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 19.2% | 25.9% | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 29.8% | 38.4% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 25.4% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.