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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+2.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+2.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.41vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+2.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40-1.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.72-1.17vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-0.89+0.96vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.84-5.83vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.87vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-1.96-0.52vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Roger Williams University2.0919.3%1st Place
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4.98Brown University1.349.5%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.5%1st Place
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6.93Salve Regina University0.464.0%1st Place
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3.08Roger Williams University2.4025.7%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.7%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island1.056.2%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont0.723.9%1st Place
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9.96Amherst College-0.891.4%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University1.8414.5%1st Place
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10.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.770.8%1st Place
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11.48University of Connecticut-1.960.5%1st Place
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11.77Middlebury College-2.100.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 19.3% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 25.7% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olin Guck | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| James Knowlton | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 19.5% | 26.7% | 19.6% | 7.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 21.1% | 9.4% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 28.1% | 38.3% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 27.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.