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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+5.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+2.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09-0.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40-1.96vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.89+4.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05-2.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.96+0.58vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.84-7.80vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.10-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78University of Vermont0.724.3%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.097.8%1st Place
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5.07Brown University1.3410.2%1st Place
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3.62Roger Williams University2.0918.8%1st Place
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3.04Roger Williams University2.4027.0%1st Place
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10.01Amherst College-0.890.7%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.3%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island1.056.5%1st Place
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6.76Salve Regina University0.465.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Connecticut-1.960.2%1st Place
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4.2Roger Williams University1.8413.8%1st Place
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11.7Middlebury College-2.100.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 18.8% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 27.0% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Knowlton | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 18.6% | 26.6% | 19.7% | 7.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 17.9% | 26.3% | 21.5% | 9.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 28.1% | 38.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 13.8% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 27.5% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.