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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+2.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+1.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.44vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+2.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.34-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.05+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.72-0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.31vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.84-4.83vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-2.10+1.75vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.96+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.78vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-0.89-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Roger Williams University2.4026.1%1st Place
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3.72Roger Williams University2.0916.8%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.3%1st Place
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6.83Salve Regina University0.464.0%1st Place
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4.94Brown University1.3410.6%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island1.057.3%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont0.724.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.7%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University1.8415.6%1st Place
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11.75Middlebury College-2.100.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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10.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.0%1st Place
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9.88Amherst College-0.891.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 26.1% | 22.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 16.8% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 15.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 26.1% | 46.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 30.0% | 37.8% |
| Kate Myler | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 15.7% | 27.6% | 22.4% | 9.5% |
| James Knowlton | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 27.4% | 17.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.