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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+0.73vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.52vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86-0.56vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93-0.93vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-2.10-0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.83-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Virginia Tech0.6751.6%1st Place
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2.73University of Maryland-0.0820.9%1st Place
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4.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.604.7%1st Place
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3.44American University-0.8611.2%1st Place
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4.07Drexel University-0.937.8%1st Place
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5.4William and Mary-2.102.2%1st Place
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6.12University of Delaware-2.831.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 51.6% | 30.6% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 20.9% | 27.7% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.7% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 8.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.2% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 33.2% | 25.8% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.