← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University2.05+0.85vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.69+0.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Puget Sound0.34-0.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon1.22-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85Western Washington University2.050.5%1st Place
-
2.2University of Washington1.690.3%1st Place
-
3.37University of Puget Sound0.340.1%1st Place
-
2.59University of Oregon1.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Stephens | 45.1% | 30.8% | 18.5% | 5.6% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 28.3% | 34.6% | 26.2% | 10.9% |
| Mary (Liza) Holtz | 8.5% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 63.4% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 18.1% | 25.3% | 36.5% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.