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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.87+7.38vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+2.25vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29+4.18vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.29vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-0.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+2.01vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.38+4.95vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland2.18-1.25vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.55-3.66vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+3.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-0.97vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.74-3.81vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-10.74vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.77-3.89vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.94-5.27vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.01-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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4.25Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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7.18Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.59Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.95Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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6.34Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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14.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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12.11George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.73SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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15.87Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Libby | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.4% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Joe Farned | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 10.1% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 28.0% | 19.4% |
| Andrew Baransky | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Colin Keil | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.4% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 3.8% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.