← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+3.56vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.25+3.03vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.60+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.95-0.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.46+1.96vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.42-1.41vs Predicted
-
7Brown University0.33+0.24vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College-0.35+0.71vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.97-2.63vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.00vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.26vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27-0.07vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College-1.76-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4013.6%1st Place
-
5.03Roger Williams University1.2510.8%1st Place
-
4.24Roger Williams University1.6015.6%1st Place
-
3.49Boston College1.9521.1%1st Place
-
6.96University of Vermont0.464.3%1st Place
-
4.59University of Rhode Island1.4213.0%1st Place
-
7.24Brown University0.334.9%1st Place
-
8.71Amherst College-0.352.1%1st Place
-
6.37Salve Regina University0.975.6%1st Place
-
6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.857.5%1st Place
-
10.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.8%1st Place
-
11.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.270.1%1st Place
-
11.13Middlebury College-1.760.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Chigas | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 21.1% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nat Edmonds | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 25.5% | 29.2% | 17.9% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 24.6% | 51.8% |
| Maya Henning | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 18.7% | 31.9% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.