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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.18+6.39vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.00vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+2.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.74+3.91vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-0.36vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13+2.82vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.77+0.11vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute2.29-2.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.49vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.77-0.86vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.94-3.24vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-1.94vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-1.01-1.15vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.38-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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8.0University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.43Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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9.11George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.14Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.58SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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12.14George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.76SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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14.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.85Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.25Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.0% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baransky | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Jay Spector | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 4.4% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 26.8% | 19.2% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 61.5% |
| Joy MacDonald | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.