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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+1.53vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+1.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.54+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42-1.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60-2.87vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-1.68vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-0.35-0.24vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-2.70vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.76+0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.856.9%1st Place
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3.53Boston College1.9520.2%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University1.2510.8%1st Place
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4.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4012.7%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont0.545.6%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island1.4212.4%1st Place
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4.13Roger Williams University1.6015.3%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University0.977.0%1st Place
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8.76Amherst College-0.352.5%1st Place
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7.3Brown University0.334.9%1st Place
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11.35Middlebury College-1.760.5%1st Place
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10.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.9%1st Place
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11.83University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 20.2% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Chigas | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Maya Henning | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 32.8% | 29.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 25.6% | 29.0% | 17.5% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 23.1% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.