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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+3.05vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.87+6.55vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+1.30vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+2.42vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.74+3.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.54vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.18vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.94+1.76vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.77+1.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-0.93vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute2.29-5.80vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-8.46vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.38-1.76vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-1.91vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-1.01-1.16vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland2.18-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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8.55SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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4.3Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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6.42Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.76SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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12.11George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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7.2Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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5.54Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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13.24Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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14.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.84Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.7% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joe Farned | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Baransky | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 9.3% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 28.7% | 19.2% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 62.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.