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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.87+7.39vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+2.27vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.55+3.37vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.29vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.74+3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.01vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.38+3.95vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.77-0.94vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-5.65vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland2.18-5.45vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute2.29-6.65vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.94-3.25vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.77-3.93vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-2.85vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.01-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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6.37Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.21Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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12.95Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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7.35Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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12.07George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
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14.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.86Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Libby | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.7% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Joe Farned | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 10.5% |
| Jay Spector | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Baransky | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cody Stansky | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 27.1% | 18.4% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.