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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+3.03vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland2.18+4.56vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+1.59vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.49vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.05vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.74+0.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.48vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute2.29-2.85vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.38+2.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-3.08vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.35vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+0.19vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.77-2.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-5.90vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.01-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.59Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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6.59Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.89Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.15Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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13.12Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.65SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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14.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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12.04George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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15.86Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 20.3% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| Jay Spector | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 19.1% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Baransky | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.