← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.25+3.28vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.15vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University2.55+3.39vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland2.18+3.63vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.26vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.75vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.77+1.89vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.85-2.64vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.74-0.80vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.06-3.15vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute2.29-4.70vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.45vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University0.77-1.86vs Predicted
-
15Queen's University0.38-1.80vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-4.98vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-2.84vs Predicted
-
18Syracuse University-1.01-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.28Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
-
4.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
6.39Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.63University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.75SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
8.89George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
5.36Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
9.2Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.85University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.3Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
11.55SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
12.14George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.2Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
-
14.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
-
15.88Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 17.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 17.3% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joe Farned | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Joy MacDonald | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Baransky | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 28.1% | 17.4% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.