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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.18+6.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+2.41vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.28vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.49vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.38+7.27vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.94+4.54vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.77+3.88vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute2.29-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.14vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-4.48vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-3.06vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.74-3.85vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-0.82vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-4.88vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-1.01-1.17vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-13.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.27Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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11.54SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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11.88George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.41Webb Institute2.290.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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6.52Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.94George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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15.83Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.4Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 18.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 9.6% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Taggart | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 3.8% |
| Cody Stansky | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Colin Keil | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 27.7% | 20.2% |
| Andrew Baransky | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 17.6% | 59.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 14.8% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.