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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+1.05vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.93+1.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.84vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.59-1.37vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-2.18vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.83-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Virginia Tech0.6748.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Maryland-0.0817.5%1st Place
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4.42Drexel University-0.936.4%1st Place
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4.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.604.8%1st Place
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3.63William and Mary-0.5911.9%1st Place
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3.82American University-0.8610.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Delaware-2.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 48.3% | 27.9% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 17.5% | 24.4% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 6.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 9.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.8% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 31.6% | 13.2% |
| Finian Knight | 11.9% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.0% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 14.5% | 2.9% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.