← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.25+3.23vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute2.29+5.16vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.31vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.22vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.85+0.31vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.77+6.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland2.18+0.59vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University2.55-1.76vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.26vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook0.94+1.61vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University0.38+2.18vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-0.99vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.74-3.86vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.77-4.98vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.04vs Predicted
-
16Syracuse University-1.01-0.15vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
-
7.16Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
4.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
5.31Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
12.25George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.59University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
-
6.24Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.74SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.61SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
13.18Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.14Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.02George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.96University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
15.85Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
14.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 4.3% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Baransky | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Colin Keil | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joe Farned | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 62.5% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.