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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+5.90vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.27+5.58vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.51+6.94vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+3.28vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.73+3.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.88+2.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60-3.39vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.01-2.79vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.31-1.54vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81-3.98vs Predicted
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11American University-1.62+3.08vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.09vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.94-7.49vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.21-6.07vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.18-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Old Dominion University1.576.5%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University1.275.1%1st Place
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9.94Hampton University0.513.1%1st Place
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7.28Washington College1.666.1%1st Place
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8.97Virginia Tech0.733.4%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy0.884.2%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.6023.9%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University2.0111.8%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston1.316.0%1st Place
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6.02Old Dominion University1.818.2%1st Place
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14.08American University-1.620.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.0%1st Place
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5.51Georgetown University1.9410.8%1st Place
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7.93Christopher Newport University1.215.2%1st Place
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11.85William and Mary-0.181.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 3.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Young | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 2.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 23.9% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miles Wolff | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 73.7% |
| Max Kleha | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Corbett | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fox | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 33.2% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.