← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.25+3.26vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland2.18+4.58vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.59vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute2.29+2.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.14vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.85-1.47vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University0.38+4.90vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.47vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University2.55-3.73vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.65vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.74-2.97vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.77-3.96vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13-2.87vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University0.77-2.91vs Predicted
-
16Syracuse University-1.01-0.16vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.26Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
-
4.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
-
7.58University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
-
8.59SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
7.14Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
5.53Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
12.9Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.53U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
6.27Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
-
11.65SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
9.03Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.04George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
-
12.09George Washington University0.770.0%1st Place
-
15.84Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
14.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 19.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 18.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joe Farned | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 9.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Colin Keil | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baransky | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Madeline Taggart | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 4.5% |
| Erik Slawsky | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 61.4% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 27.8% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.