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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.94+4.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.01+3.33vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+4.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+1.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57+1.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.15vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.51+2.92vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.27-0.42vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.73-0.02vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.32vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.31-3.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.88-3.23vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.21-5.17vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.18-1.97vs Predicted
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15American University-1.62-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Georgetown University1.9412.3%1st Place
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5.33Georgetown University2.0110.5%1st Place
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7.17Washington College1.667.1%1st Place
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5.97Old Dominion University1.819.3%1st Place
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6.84Old Dominion University1.578.2%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy2.6020.2%1st Place
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9.92Hampton University0.512.5%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University1.276.0%1st Place
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8.98Virginia Tech0.733.7%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.9%1st Place
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7.54College of Charleston1.315.8%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy0.883.6%1st Place
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7.83Christopher Newport University1.215.5%1st Place
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12.03William and Mary-0.180.9%1st Place
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14.11American University-1.620.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Corbett | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Daniel Hughes | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Stewart Gurnell | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Noyl Odom | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Parker Purrington | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Nathan Smith | 20.2% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Can Dilikoglu | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 4.5% |
Oscar MacGillivray | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
Aidan Young | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
Max Kleha | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
Miles Wolff | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
Colin MacGillivray | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
Brian Fox | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
Sam Dutilly | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 35.0% | 15.1% |
Jacob Juros | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.