← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy0.88+7.77vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.94+3.47vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.57+3.87vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.51+5.96vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.81+1.14vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.27vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston1.31+0.21vs Predicted
-
8Washington College1.66-0.86vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.01-3.60vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.21-2.13vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.27-3.52vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.13vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech0.73-3.93vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary-0.18-2.22vs Predicted
-
15American University-1.62-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.77U. S. Naval Academy0.884.0%1st Place
-
5.47Georgetown University1.9410.8%1st Place
-
6.87Old Dominion University1.577.9%1st Place
-
9.96Hampton University0.512.4%1st Place
-
6.14Old Dominion University1.818.3%1st Place
-
3.73U. S. Naval Academy2.6021.4%1st Place
-
7.21College of Charleston1.316.7%1st Place
-
7.14Washington College1.666.7%1st Place
-
5.4Georgetown University2.0112.6%1st Place
-
7.87Christopher Newport University1.214.8%1st Place
-
7.48George Washington University1.275.9%1st Place
-
8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.8%1st Place
-
9.07Virginia Tech0.733.4%1st Place
-
11.78William and Mary-0.181.2%1st Place
-
14.25American University-1.620.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Jack Corbett | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 3.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 21.4% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hughes | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Max Kleha | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Young | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 32.5% | 14.3% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 11.8% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.