Race 12A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Can Dilikoglu 2.5% 2.9% 4.3% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.5% 12.3% 17.9% 13.9%
Daniel Hughes 11.9% 11.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.2% 10.1% 8.3% 7.8% 5.8% 5.8% 3.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Stewart Gurnell 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 5.2% 2.1%
Miles Wolff 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 7.5% 9.9% 8.2% 5.5% 2.9%
Oscar MacGillivray 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.5% 8.6% 6.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 7.8% 7.2% 6.0% 2.4%
Noyl Odom 9.2% 8.9% 10.1% 9.5% 8.6% 9.3% 9.1% 8.1% 8.2% 7.0% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7%
Max Kleha 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.1% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 8.3% 8.8% 11.1% 10.2% 12.3% 7.3%
Aidan Young 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 4.2% 6.9% 6.6% 6.9% 5.8% 10.1% 8.9% 12.8% 12.3% 9.3%
Nathan Smith 21.5% 20.1% 15.4% 12.2% 8.8% 7.8% 5.3% 3.6% 2.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 6.0% 5.5% 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 9.3% 10.5% 11.8% 6.8%
Parker Purrington 7.1% 7.8% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 8.3% 9.8% 7.5% 8.6% 8.1% 6.6% 4.8% 3.8% 1.7%
Brian Fox 6.3% 4.9% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 7.6% 3.5%
Sam Dutilly 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 6.3% 8.9% 13.2% 48.7%
Jack Corbett 11.2% 11.6% 10.3% 11.2% 9.4% 9.1% 8.3% 9.7% 6.5% 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.