Race 13A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Noyl Odom 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.0% 10.0% 10.2% 9.1% 8.4% 6.6% 6.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Oscar MacGillivray 5.7% 7.0% 7.4% 6.5% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 9.2% 8.1% 7.6% 5.8% 2.2%
Parker Purrington 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 7.9% 8.5% 8.7% 7.8% 7.7% 5.8% 5.0% 2.1%
Miles Wolff 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 7.9% 8.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.2% 7.2% 5.4% 2.5%
Brian Fox 6.9% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 7.5% 8.0% 9.3% 9.5% 8.8% 8.2% 4.2%
Jack Corbett 12.3% 10.5% 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 9.8% 8.6% 7.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 6.5% 6.6% 8.5% 8.0% 6.3% 7.0% 9.0% 9.6% 8.6% 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 4.7% 3.2%
Colin MacGillivray 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 11.7% 11.8% 7.0%
Nathan Smith 19.8% 19.2% 16.2% 13.1% 9.8% 8.0% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Daniel Hughes 12.5% 12.4% 10.2% 11.1% 11.0% 10.0% 8.2% 6.7% 6.8% 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Max Kleha 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 10.0% 10.2% 11.5% 10.7% 8.1%
Sam Dutilly 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 3.4% 2.7% 5.1% 6.7% 8.2% 14.7% 45.4%
Aidan Young 4.0% 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 10.3% 12.3% 12.6% 7.2%
Can Dilikoglu 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 8.9% 11.5% 17.5% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.