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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+3.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.37+4.86vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+2.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.21vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+1.32vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+1.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.42-3.13vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.73+0.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.89-3.90vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.58-0.86vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.14vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.19-1.51vs Predicted
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13American University-0.91-0.10vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.04-3.21vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.67-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Georgetown University1.9712.6%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy1.376.8%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University1.8210.3%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.628.6%1st Place
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6.32Old Dominion University1.597.0%1st Place
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7.74Hampton University0.725.3%1st Place
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3.87Georgetown University2.4219.8%1st Place
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8.63Christopher Newport University0.734.5%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Naval Academy1.8913.4%1st Place
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9.14Hampton University0.582.4%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.8%1st Place
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10.49Washington College0.191.9%1st Place
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12.9American University-0.910.9%1st Place
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10.79Virginia Tech0.041.9%1st Place
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12.53William and Mary-0.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wahba | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Felix Cutler | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 19.8% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Cooper Walshe | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Anika Liner | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 21.7% | 41.8% |
| Brock Diaz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% |
| Julia Hudson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 23.1% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.